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DoomsdaysCWAnthropogenic amplification of precipitation variability over the past centuryWenxia Zhang, Tianjun Zhou , and Peili Wu25 Jul 2024Abstract "As the climate warms, the consequent moistening of the atmosphere increases <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ExtremePrecipitation" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ExtremePrecipitation</a>. <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Precipitation" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Precipitation</a> variability should also increase, producing larger wet-dry swings, but that is yet to be confirmed observationally. Here we show that precipitation variability has already grown globally (over 75% of land area) over the past century, as a result of accumulated <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/anthropogenic" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#anthropogenic</a> warming. The increased variability is seen across daily to intraseasonal timescales, with daily variability increased by 1.2% per 10 years globally, and is particularly prominent over Europe, Australia, and eastern North America. Increased precipitation variability is driven mainly by thermodynamics linked to atmospheric moistening, modulated at decadal timescales by circulation changes. Amplified precipitation variability poses new challenges for weather and climate predictions, as well as for resilience and adaptation by societies and <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ecosystems" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ecosystems</a>."<a href="https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adp0212" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adp0212</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ExtremeWx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ExtremeWx</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Drought" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Drought</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/UnpredictableWeather" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#UnpredictableWeather</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ExtremeRains" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ExtremeRains</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Flooding" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Flooding</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ClimateCatastrophe" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateCatastrophe</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/GlobalWarming" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#GlobalWarming</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ClimateChange" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateChange</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateCrisis</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Resiliency" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Resiliency</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ClimateAction" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateAction</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ClimateActionNow" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateActionNow</a>

DoomsdaysCW<a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Rainfall" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Rainfall</a> is increasingly unpredictable due to <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ClimateChange" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateChange</a> By Rodielon Putol Earth.com staff writer July 28, 2024"In recent years, rainfall patterns worldwide have transformed dramatically, with many regions experiencing unprecedented changes in precipitation due to climate change."Folk tales about the wet seasons seem to have turned into reality. <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/TorrentialDownpours" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#TorrentialDownpours</a> are becoming more common. These <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/HeavyRains" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#HeavyRains</a> disrupt daily life. They also challenge infrastructure meant for milder weather."At the same time, dry areas are facing longer <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/droughts" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#droughts</a>, raising concerns about climate change and its impact on <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/UnpredictableWeather" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#UnpredictableWeather</a>."These prolonged dry spells have severe implications for <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/agriculture" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#agriculture</a>, <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/water" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#water</a> supply, and <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ecosystem" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ecosystem</a> health, making the need for comprehensive climate action more urgent than ever. Climate change and rainfall variability"A groundbreaking study now solidifies the connection between human-induced climate change and erratic rainfall patterns, offering compelling evidence of the far-reaching impact of <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/HumanActivities" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#HumanActivities</a> on the <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/GlobalClimate" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#GlobalClimate</a> system. "The research vividly demonstrates that human actions have sparked a significant global shift towards more volatile rainfall patterns, disrupting traditional weather cycles and increasing the frequency of <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ExtremeWeather" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ExtremeWeather</a> events. "This significant finding validates what climate models have long predicted, highlighting the urgent need for effective mitigation and adaptation strategies to address the growing <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateCrisis</a>."Read more: <a href="https://www.earth.com/news/rainfall-is-increasingly-unpredictable-due-to-climate-change/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.earth.com/news/rainfall-is-increasingly-unpredictable-due-to-climate-change/</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ExtremeWx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ExtremeWx</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ExtremeRains" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ExtremeRains</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Flooding" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Flooding</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ClimateCatastrophe" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateCatastrophe</a>

DoomsdaysCW<a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/TropicalStormSara" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#TropicalStormSara</a> to unleash life-threatening <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/flooding" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#flooding</a> in <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/CentralAmerica" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#CentralAmerica</a>Tropical Storm Sara will bring an extreme risk to lives and property in Central America where feet of rain may fall before tracking toward <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Florida" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Florida</a> next week.By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather senior meteorologistPublished Nov 14, 2024"Rain may pour down for days on the northern parts of <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Nicaragua" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Nicaragua</a> and <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Honduras" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Honduras</a> before shifting to eastern parts of <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Guatemala" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Guatemala</a>, <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Belize" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Belize</a> and southeastern <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Mexico" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Mexico</a> this weekend. "A general 8-12 inches (20-30 cm) will fall in this zone, but a large pocket of 12-18 inches (30-45 cm) of rain is forecast from northern Honduras and Nicaragua, with an AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 50 inches (127 cm)."'This amount of rain will trigger major <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/FlashFlooding" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#FlashFlooding</a> and <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/mudslides" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#mudslides</a> with the potential for catastrophic loss of life and tremendous damage,' AccuWeather Chief Meteorologist Jonathan Porter warned."Some communities could be cut off for days due to washed-out roads and bridges or blocked by debris flows. Demands for rescue and recovery efforts, as well as food and medical supplies, will be great in the wake of the storm in the region."Because of Sara's proximity to the <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Caribbean" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Caribbean</a> for several days, it will likely not unwind fully. As a result, winds, waves and <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/StormSurge" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#StormSurge</a> will blast the coast of <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Honduras" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Honduras</a>, eastern <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Guatemala" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Guatemala</a>, <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Belize" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Belize</a> and Mexico's <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Yucatan" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Yucatan</a> Peninsula. Sporadic <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/PowerOutages" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#PowerOutages</a> are likely due to <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/StrongWinds" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#StrongWinds</a>."<a href="https://www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane/tropical-storm-sara-to-unleash-life-threatening-flooding-in-central-america/1713878" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane/tropical-storm-sara-to-unleash-life-threatening-flooding-in-central-america/1713878</a><a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/CentralAmericaWx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#CentralAmericaWx</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ExtremeWx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ExtremeWx</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ExtremeRains" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ExtremeRains</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ExtremeWeather" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ExtremeWeather</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ClimateChange" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateChange</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateCrisis</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ClimateCatastrophe" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateCatastrophe</a>

DoomsdaysCWThousands evacuated as parts of <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Spain" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Spain</a> hit with nearly a month’s <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/rainfall" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#rainfall</a> in one hour By Allison Chinchar, Caitlin Danaher, Mia Alberti, CNN, and Pau Mosquera, CNN en Español November 14, 2024 "Severe thunderstorms and torrential rain have again battered coastal Spain, causing thousands of people to be evacuated just two weeks after the country experienced deadly <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/flooding" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#flooding</a> in Valencia and other nearby communities."Over 4,000 people and a thousand homes have been evacuated in the <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Malaga" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Malaga</a> area, according to a Thursday update from Antonio Sanz, the director of the Emergency Plan for the Risk of Flooding in <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Andalucia" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Andalucia</a>."Five areas near the Guadalhorce riverbank were preemptively evacuated due to the risk of overflowing."In just one hour, nearly a month’s worth of rainfall inundated the city of Malaga, in Spain’s Andalusia region, according to the country’s meteorological agency AEMet. The southern Spanish province picked up roughly 100 millimeters (4 inches) of rain so far on Wednesday, 78 millimeters (3 inches) of which fell within an hour. Malaga normally averages 100.5 millimeters in the month of November."The Spanish meteorological agency has issued red warnings in the Andalusia and Catalonia regions for extreme rainfall with reports of impassable roads and flooded basements in several towns."Video from the scene shows streets in Malaga submerged in water." <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/13/europe/spain-rain-thousands-evacuated-malaga-intl-latam/index.html" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/13/europe/spain-rain-thousands-evacuated-malaga-intl-latam/index.html</a><a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/SpainWx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#SpainWx</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ExtremeWx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ExtremeWx</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ExtremeRains" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ExtremeRains</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/SpainFlooding" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#SpainFlooding</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ClimateChange" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateChange</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateCrisis</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ClimateCatastrophe" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateCatastrophe</a>

DoomsdaysCW'Dying of thirst' as climate-driven floods mix with oilMaura Ajak & Stephanie Stafford"Herders scooping murky water from a small pond in grasslands in South Sudan are well aware of the dangers they face if they drink it."'The water is dirty because this place has oil - it has chemicals in it,' says their chief, Chilhok Puot."Nyatabah, a woman from this community raising cows in the heart of oil fields in Unity State, adds: 'If you drink it, it makes you pant and cough."'We know it's bad water, but we don't have anywhere else, we're dying of thirst.'"A former oil engineer, David Bojo Leju, has told the BBC World service that flooding in the area is washing <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/pollution" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#pollution</a> into water sources."Large swathes of the state have been under water for several years after unprecedented <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/flooding" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#flooding</a>, which scientists say has been worsened by <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ClimateChange" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateChange</a>."Mr Bojo Leju says the floods are a 'disaster' and that pollution from mismanaged oil facilities is a 'silent killer' spreading across the state."South Sudan is the world’s youngest country and one of its poorest, with a government hugely dependent on oil revenue."Unity State, a major oil-producing state, has always experienced seasonal flooding. But in 2019, <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ExtremeRains" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ExtremeRains</a> brought a deluge that engulfed <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/villages" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#villages</a>, <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/grasslands" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#grasslands</a> and <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/forests" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#forests</a>. Year after year of intense rainfall followed. The water built up, trapped on the clay soil."At the worst point in 2022, two-thirds of Unity State were submerged, according to the UN World Food Programme (<a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/WFP" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#WFP</a>) - even now, it says about 40% is still under water."Read more: <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4gpmx7z0xno" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4gpmx7z0xno</a><a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/PetroState" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#PetroState</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/GPOC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#GPOC</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/UnityState" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#UnityState</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Oiligarchy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Oiligarchy</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/BigOilAndGas" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#BigOilAndGas</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/WaterIsLife" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#WaterIsLife</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/SouthSudan" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#SouthSudan</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Pollution" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Pollution</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ClimateChange" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateChange</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateCrisis</a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ClimateCatastrophe" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateCatastrophe</a>

CelloMom On Cars<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/ClimateChange" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateChange</a> quadrupled rainfall in parts of <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Bangladesh" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Bangladesh</a>, northeast <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/India" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#India</a>, new research shows“While the total rainfall in most of these regions is decreasing, our paper shows <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/ExtremeRains" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ExtremeRains</a> are increasing.”"The CMIP6 projection indicates that more devastating <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/flood" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#flood</a>-causing extreme rainfall events will become more frequent in the future."<a href="https://www.tbsnews.net/environment/climate-change/climate-change-quadrupled-rainfall-parts-bangladesh-northeast-india-new" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.tbsnews.net/environment/climate-change/climate-change-quadrupled-rainfall-parts-bangladesh-northeast-india-new</a>

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