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💧🌏 Greg Cocks

[The] New High-Resolution Climate Models Are A Breakthrough In Understanding Australia's Future
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theconversation.com/our-new-hi <-- shared technical article
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doi.org/10.1029/2023EF003548 <-- shared paper
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“KEY POINTS
• [They] dynamically downscaled 15 CMIP6 global climate model simulations over Australia to a 10 km spatial resolution using the Conformal Cubic Atmospheric model
• Two new assessment metrics are proposed to assess model performance and added value of downscaling
• The integrated added value of downscaling can be as high as 150% over highly populated areas..."

photo - bushfire - Australia
maps / spatial analyses - Australia - Annual averages of monthly mean, maximum and minimum temperature (°C), and precipitation (mm/month) from observations and ensemble mean bias (model—AGCD) for the CMIP6 host models, and the downscaled CMIP6-CCAM ensemble. Time period 1981–2020. Comparison performed on a common 10 km grid.
map / spatial analysis - Australia - Added value of Conformal Cubic Atmospheric model downscaling of CMIP6 over IPCC regions in Australia. Panels show integrated skill score, score for temperature and score for precipitation. Individual models shown as points.
map / spatial analysis / charts - Australia - Added value of Conformal Cubic Atmospheric model downscaling of CMIP6 over regional planning areas in Queensland. Panels show integrated skill score, score for temperature, and score for precipitation.
Dec 12, 2023, 05:46 PM·Public·Web
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