For those wondering how @elio82@twitter.com and I did at the #NHC this video pretty much sums up the #syndicate trip to Vegas last weekend for the #nhc2025

Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists: Hurricane Elon: DOGE cuts could cause meteorologists to miss the next ‘nightmare’ storm https://thebulletin.org/2025/03/hurricane-elon-doge-cuts-could-cause-meteorologists-to-miss-the-next-nightmare-storm/

NOAA Hurricane Hunter layoffs threaten to degrade hurricane forecasts

Two flight directors and one flight engineer fired.

https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2025/03/noaa-hurricane-hunter-layoffs-threaten-to-degrade-hurricane-forecasts/

#WX #Hurricane #Hurricanes #HurricaneHunters #NOAA @BakerRL75 @ai6yr @nws_bot #NHC @AE4WX @firefly @Jennifer @bud_t @czarbucks #EmergencyManagement #PublicSafety

#NHC issues Weather Reconnaissance Flights (REP) at Jan 16, 17:44 UTC https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202501161744-KNHC-NOUS42-REPRPD

::sighs in contentment::

#HurricaneHunters #NHC #TropicalWx 762
NOUS42 KNHC 191700
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1200 PM EST TUE 19 NOVEMBER 2024
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 20/1100Z TO 21/1100Z NOVEMBER 2024
TCPOD NUMBER.....24-172

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.
THE PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE AS FOLLOWS:

1. MISSION REQUESTS FOR

#weather #NHC #NOAA

::breathes::

#weather #GulfOfMexico #NHC #NOAA #Sara

#TropicalStormSara remainders still haunting the W of #Yucatan peninsula, after an unwelcome pour of rain over countries in the area. The outcome in flash floods, landslides and other storm related incidents still has NOT been assessed.

Remember, the countries in the area do NOT have much in surplus or resources allocated to prevention, and handling damage to infrastructure (or much infrastructure, to start with). Spare a thought for them.

NHC forecasting Sara to become a depression soon. #Sara #NHC #TropicalWx #TSSara

These potentially extremal rain events have become part of the sequalae of #ClimateChange. #NOAA / #NWS and #NHC are critical components of our early warning systems.The reports may as well be #NatSec briefings

Afternoon update on Tropical Storm #Sara from NHC Miami
https://www.youtube.com/live/5ZUbFueJO9k?si=10CcVV81h0KDYGv9

#weather #Yucatan #Belize #Honduras #Guatemala #Mexico #NHC #NOAA #Sara

#TropicalStormSara bringing heavy rains inland, as it skims N coast of Honduras.

Remember, #NWS NHC NOAA are a public service of the US govt, a Common Good funded by tax payer, and the inbound #tRump regime plans to dismantle it and turn its most basic services to private subscription.

#weather #Caribbean #GulfOfMexico #NHC #NOAA

#TropicalDepression19 #AL99 #Sara is still developing/organizing, and nearing a landfall, within next few hours. Storm system is expected to skim the coast S of #Yucatan peninsula. Risks to #Honduras #Guatemala #Nicaragua of high coastal surges, and inland flash floods related to rain.

#weather #Caribbean #GulfOfMexico #NHC #NOAA

#TropicalDisturbance1 #AL99 #PotentialTropicalCyclone19 #Sara

System getting better organized by the hour.

#weather #Caribbean #GulfOfMexico #NHC #NOAA #Honduras #Belize #Mexico

#TropicalDisturbance1 #AL99 keeps developing and getting better organized. . Now it stands at 90% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone in the next 48hrs.

A reminder that the incoming #tRump regime wants to do away with most public services such as #NWS and NOAA, turn them into a private as-subscription service, unavailable for the common citizens whose taxes have built the vast infrastructure, assets, training and hiring of expert personnel. #USPol #TurdReich #GOP #MAGAts

Those who have twitter
x.com/MSNBC/status...

Those that don't:
President-elect Donald Trump named tech billionaire Elon Musk and conservative activist Vivek Ramaswamy to head up a new Department of Government Efficiency, fulfilling a campaign pledge to give Musk sweeping oversight of gov spending.
#musk #fema #NWS #NOAA #NHC

#weather #Caribbean #GulfOfMexico #NHC #NOAA

#TropicalDisturbance1 has a 80% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone within 7 days, 40% within next 48hrs.

See
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=car&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24

A REMINDER

#tRump wants to dismantle the National Weather Service ( #NWS ) and turn weather information into a privatized, as-subscription service. No common citizen will be able to afford it. Certainly not the majority of the population which is susceptible to catastrophic weather events. The only warning you will get are the flashy, profoundly uninformative, showy idiocy you see in "news".

#weather #GulfOfMexico #NHC #NOAA #Rafael

Post-Tropical Storm Rafael is degrading, quickly, and only noteworthy effects expected are intermittent coastal surges.

#weather #GulfOfMexico #NHC #NOAA #Rafael

Tropical cyclone Rafael passes onto the Gulf of Mexico, and regains some force, due to warm waters and lack of top shearing winds.

While the cyclone is not directly over landmasses, expect hurricane force winds around 30miles from core ( "eye") and tropical storm winds 120miles from core. Maximum sustained winds 105mph.

At this point, Rafael seems headed to E #Mexico coats, but not expected, so far, to make landfall. The system remains a hazard to navigation in the Gulf and moderate coastal surge expected to affect Mexico, #texas, #Louisiana and #Florida Keys.

#weather #GulfOfMexico #Caribbean #NHC #NOAA #Rafael

Hurricane Rafael runs roughshod over W #Cuba . The whole of the island is without power, and fuel transportation is VERY limited given damage to MSRs and telecomms.

As the cyclone disperses energy over the island, it veers Westward, towards Gulf of Mexico, and reduces sustained wind speed.

Enjoy the benefits of NHC/NOAA while it still exists, available to people. Remember that the inbound #tRump regime has stated it will privatize and turn NHC/NOAA as a subscription service.